OFFSIDE: Too many goals at the 2026 World Cup? Wait for the knockout rounds… | Football news


OFFSIDE: Too many goals at the 2026 World Cup? Wait for the elimination rounds…

Ted Lasso was a rare silver lining during the dark days of COVID. As the world went into lockdown, an American football coach who manages a football team had the unenviable job of not only coaching a team in a sport he didn’t know, but also lifting the spirits of the world in its saddest days. And against all odds, Ted Lasso pulled it off and finally made Americans fall in love with a sport that was associated with suburban moms and minivans.The received wisdom until then was that football was not as fast-paced as baseball, basketball, hockey and American football, and therefore did not appeal to the American mind. Perhaps this is one of the reasons that this World Cup, with North America as co-host, has been one of the most free tournaments in recent memory.Football fans have tried to offer different reasons for this. Some have blamed the breaks on hydration. Others point to the ball that is apparently more difficult to catch and has a mind of its own in the air. Some blame the 48-team World Cup for leading to lopsided contests because we’ve never seen a nation thrashed 7-1. Sunday League purists say tight refereeing prevents defenders from kicking balls away from forwards.But the numbers at least are not done. After 54 games, this edition has 161 goals. That’s 2.98 per game. Qatar 2022 finished with 172 goals in 64 games at 2.69 per game. Russia 2018 managed 2.64. South Africa 2010 was 2.27 per game.

Too many goals?

Is it just the group’s jokes or is there something more? Because the group stages are found. Often flatter and exaggerate like life insurance agents.

Golden Boot Race

The race for the Golden Boot also seems ridiculous. Messi already has five goals. In many World Cups, that tally would get you the gong. Vinicius Jr, Kylian Mbappé and Erling Haaland are stranded in four each, accidentally ordered by hunger. Lionel Messi bring with five. Vinicius Jr, Kylian Mbappé and Erling Haaland are in four. Deniz Undav, Johan Manzambi, Matheus Cunha, Ismael Saibari and Jonathan David are in three. Cristiano Ronaldo and Harry Kane, and a host of others, are lurking on two.

Have a Ball

The ball also became part of history and the Adidas Trionda was unfairly compared to the Jabulani from 2010 which was the most hated ball since the meteor wiped out the dinosaurs. Former England goalkeeper Joe Hart has raised suspicions about the ball, pointing out that even elite players have been tricked into moving clumsily because of it. The Trionda has a four-panel construction and deep seams that can give the ball a mind of its own and make it more difficult for keepers.

Defense, where are you?

But it’s not always just the ball. Defense, fans said, has become a lost art in the game. Too much arbitration got rid of the brawlers, the hard tacklers, the men who put their heads where angels feared to tread. Opta’s defensive error numbers show that 25 errors led directly to goals, compared to 37 in the entire 2018 and 2022 World Cups combined.Some of that is down to technique, and some is down to bad touches, free-kicks and goalkeepers panicking when Erling Haaland takes them on. Of course, we have the fairy tales of the goalkeepers of tiny nations like Cape Verde or Curacao, or the way that Carlos Queiroz’s Ghana blew away England’s attack.The own goals tell a similar story: Reuters reported seven own goals in the first 10 days, with the tournament threatening the record of 12 set in 2018. Add in five substitutions, tired backlines, a tighter defense than the VAR era and a wider quality gap in a 48-team World Cup, and the top spot makes sense.

Are you waiting for the knockout stage?

But this points to another kind of problem. As we head toward the business end, the tournaments get stingier. Brazil 2014, for example, had 2.83 per game in the group stage and 2.19 in the knockouts. Germany 2016 saw 2.44 in the group stage and 1.88 in the knockouts. 2002 had 2.71 per game, with knockouts dropping to 1.94. Of course, there are exceptions. Qatar 2022 and Russia 2018 had a high number of goals.The real defensive pressure usually comes once the tournament reaches the quarterfinals and beyond. That’s when teams stop chasing goal difference, stop playing open final group games and start treating every mistake as a career-ending clerical error. Maybe that’s why even today Germany’s 7-1 demolition of Brazil lives on in the memory.Time will tell if the goal fest continues in the knockout stage, where defenses will be more equipped, forwards and attackers will become tougher, and we will find out if the group stage was just a beautiful anomaly.

Meeting in the third place

And now comes the most undignified waiting room of the tournament. With only eight of the 12 third-placed teams going through, four points should be close to a boarding pass, making Bosnia-Herzegovina all but certain. The three-point package – Sweden, Croatia, South Korea, Algeria, Paraguay and Scotland – is where the real blood pressure lives, because goal difference now counts as much as goals. Cape Verde and Belgium, both in two, are still breathing, but they need help. DR Congo, Ecuador and Senegal are in the danger zone, where a further result elsewhere can turn hope into baggage.

OFFSIDE GRAPHICS

This is the hidden price of all those goals. Every consolation of 90 minutes, every own goal, every flap of the keeper is now put on the table as evidence in court. The elimination race has already started, only some teams are watching it from hotel rooms. The top eight third-placed teams qualify, with points first, then goal difference, goals scored, fair play and FIFA ranking used as tiebreakers.Meme WatchAnd the winner:

Matthew Cunha



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